Philip Eyrikson Tetlock Superforecasting
the art and science of prediction
Gedrukt boek
An Optimistic Skeptic -- Illusions of Knowledge -- Keeping Score -- Superforecasters -- Supersmart? -- Superquants? -- Supernewsjunkies? -- Perpetual Beta -- Superteams -- The Leader's Dilemma -- Are They Really So Super? -- What's Next? -- Epilogue -- An Invitation -- Appendix: Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters
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